Realisasi tingkat inflasi 2009 diperkirakan akan mencapai sekira tiga persen, jauh lebih rendah dari yang direncanakan di APBN-P 2009. Rendahnya tingkat inflasi ini merupakan pencapaian terbaik dalam 10 tahun terakhir.
Sejalan dengan rendahnya tingkat inflasi, suku bungan SBI tiga bulan diupayakan Bank Indonesia terus menurun, sehingga realisasinya mencapai rata-rata 7,6 persen.
Sementara pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia pada 2009 diperkirakan akan mencapai 4,3-4,4 persen. Hal ini merujuk pada realisasi pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sampai dengan triwulan III yang telah tumbuh 4,2 persen, serta prediksi pencapaian pertumbuhan yang lebih tinggi di triwulan IV-2009 (sekira 5,2 persen).
Pencapaian indikator ekonomi makro nasional dalam 2009 itu dinilai mencatatkan kinerja yang baik. Hal ini terungkap dalam Laporan Perkembangan Ekonomi Makro dan Realisasi APBN-P 2009, di Jakarta, Sabtu (2/1/2009).
Selama 2009, nilai tukar rupiah pun mengalami kecenderuangan yang menguat, sehingga di akhir tahun sebesar Rp9.403 per USD, atau mencapai rata-rata Rp10.408 per USD sepanjang tahun 2009. Penguatan rupiah ini didukung oleh tingginya cadangan devisa yang mencapai USD65,84 miliar per November 2009.
Harga minyak mentah Indonesia sesuai dengan yang diperkirakan, yakni mencapai rata-rata USD61,5 per barel. Lifting minyak mentah Indonesia mencapai rata-rata 952 ribu barel per hari (bph), yang berarti masih di bawah target di APBN-P 2009 sebesar 960 bph.
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Jumat, 01 Januari 2010
Inflasi 2009 Catat Rekor Terbaik 10 Tahun Terakhir
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Jumat, 01 Januari 2010
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Kamis, 17 Desember 2009
PC market: The big firms fight it out.
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Kamis, 17 Desember 2009
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Indonesia’s burgeoning personal computer (PC) market — divided between desktops and notebooks including the increasingly popular netbooks — will continue to see hefty growth next year, setting off even fiercer competition among top players.
This year sales of PCs are predicted to hit US$2 billion, from a recorded $1.8 billion in 2008, and are expected to grow again by between 20 and 25 percent next year, according to data from the International Data Corporation (IDC), a market research company.
Against this backdrop, PT Acer Indonesia is upbeat about retaining market leader status despite a blip in the third quarter resulting in Hewlett Packard taking over the top spot, although Acer remained the undisputed leader overall in the January-September period.
Acer Indonesia president director, Jason Lim, said in an interview earlier this week that he was confident that sales in notebooks, including increasingly popular netbooks, would play a vital role in improving its performance.
Sales of notebooks represent about 60 percent of the total PC market in the country.
“Acer still has the biggest market share in Indonesia if you count the first two quarters of the year,” Jason said of the third quarter decline.
As of September, the company held 19.5 percent of the national market share from January to September this year, followed by HP with 16.8 percent. The third biggest market player was Toshiba with 6.4 percent.
In the third quarter alone, HP snatched 20.7 percent of the PC market against Acer’s 19.7 percent.
Jason said Acer was counting on sales in notebooks to improve to retain its position as the country’s biggest PC vendor in 2010. According to IDC, national notebook sales have the potential to increase by 35 percent to about 2.5 million units next year.
During the third quarter of 2009, Acer took 27.6 percent of the notebook market share in Indonesia, down from 28.2 percent in the previous quarter. Trailing closely behind Acer was HP with 26.5 percent of the notebook market share in quarter three, up from 18.5 percent in quarter two.
Jason said that even sales in desktop computers still could make a significant contribution to the company’s performance in 2010.
National desktop sales continued to slide as a proportion of all PC sales over the past few years.
The desktop sales up to September this year only accounted for 40 percent of national PC sales. It previously dominated with 60 percent in 2007, before slipping to 55 percent last year. But the number of units sold continues to increase, IDC said.
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This year sales of PCs are predicted to hit US$2 billion, from a recorded $1.8 billion in 2008, and are expected to grow again by between 20 and 25 percent next year, according to data from the International Data Corporation (IDC), a market research company.
Against this backdrop, PT Acer Indonesia is upbeat about retaining market leader status despite a blip in the third quarter resulting in Hewlett Packard taking over the top spot, although Acer remained the undisputed leader overall in the January-September period.
Acer Indonesia president director, Jason Lim, said in an interview earlier this week that he was confident that sales in notebooks, including increasingly popular netbooks, would play a vital role in improving its performance.
Sales of notebooks represent about 60 percent of the total PC market in the country.
“Acer still has the biggest market share in Indonesia if you count the first two quarters of the year,” Jason said of the third quarter decline.
As of September, the company held 19.5 percent of the national market share from January to September this year, followed by HP with 16.8 percent. The third biggest market player was Toshiba with 6.4 percent.
In the third quarter alone, HP snatched 20.7 percent of the PC market against Acer’s 19.7 percent.
Jason said Acer was counting on sales in notebooks to improve to retain its position as the country’s biggest PC vendor in 2010. According to IDC, national notebook sales have the potential to increase by 35 percent to about 2.5 million units next year.
During the third quarter of 2009, Acer took 27.6 percent of the notebook market share in Indonesia, down from 28.2 percent in the previous quarter. Trailing closely behind Acer was HP with 26.5 percent of the notebook market share in quarter three, up from 18.5 percent in quarter two.
Jason said that even sales in desktop computers still could make a significant contribution to the company’s performance in 2010.
National desktop sales continued to slide as a proportion of all PC sales over the past few years.
The desktop sales up to September this year only accounted for 40 percent of national PC sales. It previously dominated with 60 percent in 2007, before slipping to 55 percent last year. But the number of units sold continues to increase, IDC said.
Group Sees Higher CPO Price as Global Economy Picks Up
Label: BisnisCPO producers expect crude palm oil prices to continue to rise in the first quarter of next year, to help offset the decline this year triggered by previously falling demand and an earlier weakened rupiah, a grouping says.
Steaven Halim, a secretary of the Indonesian Palm Oil Producers (GAPKI), said Wednesday CPO producers were optimistic that CPO prices would go up early next year pushed by increased demand as part of the positive impacts of the recovering global economy.
“As long as there is no new crisis, we are expecting that CPO prices will hover at least at US$800 per ton in the first quarter of 2010.”
The remarks follow earlier predictions by Oil World, an independent forecasting service for oilseeds, oils and meal, whose analyst Thomas Mielke said prices would be supported by rising demand as production of vegetable oils from other plants such as soybean would decline due to unfriendly weather in several parts of the United States.
“I have also suggested my fellow CPO producers to spend more nowadays, mainly in the production sector on machinery or factory equipment,” Steaven said.
Big production spending plans should be undertaken in present conditions because the rupiah is now in a strong position.
“We can save a lot if we build factories today, because most of the tools or factory components are imported,” Steaven said.
GAPKI’s members include about 370 CPO producer firms with about 2.4 million hectares of oil palm are targeting to produce at least 25 million tons of CPO next year, up by 25 percent from this year’s production target of 20 million tons.
Members of GAPKI, which Steaven said represented about 30 percent of the national CPO industry, produced 19.2 million tons of CPO last year.
Steaven acknowledged that the bright hope of high CPO prices next year would be the chance for CPO business to gain more income to cover the losses caused by the drop in sales and in the rupiah rate to the dollar earlier this year.
During the first months of this year, the CPO price stood at only about $500 to $550 per ton.
The weakened rupiah earlier in the year also caused companies to receive less income during those hard days, Steaven said.
“In the middle of this year, the price started to recover to about $650 per ton,” he said.
The effects of the recovering global economy on the CPO price has significantly influenced CPO prices in quarter three 2009, he said.
“As of November, the CPO price stood at $770 per ton,” Steaven said.
According to data published by GAPKI, Indonesia exports CPO to over 100 countries, including 15 countries in western Europe including the Netherlands and Germany.
In 2008, a total of 7.3 hectares of oil palm plantations in Indonesia produced about 19.2 million tons of CPO, of which 14.3 million tons were exported. CPO producers are now exploring to improve sales penetration in eastern European countries like Slovakia.
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Steaven Halim, a secretary of the Indonesian Palm Oil Producers (GAPKI), said Wednesday CPO producers were optimistic that CPO prices would go up early next year pushed by increased demand as part of the positive impacts of the recovering global economy.
“As long as there is no new crisis, we are expecting that CPO prices will hover at least at US$800 per ton in the first quarter of 2010.”
The remarks follow earlier predictions by Oil World, an independent forecasting service for oilseeds, oils and meal, whose analyst Thomas Mielke said prices would be supported by rising demand as production of vegetable oils from other plants such as soybean would decline due to unfriendly weather in several parts of the United States.
“I have also suggested my fellow CPO producers to spend more nowadays, mainly in the production sector on machinery or factory equipment,” Steaven said.
Big production spending plans should be undertaken in present conditions because the rupiah is now in a strong position.
“We can save a lot if we build factories today, because most of the tools or factory components are imported,” Steaven said.
GAPKI’s members include about 370 CPO producer firms with about 2.4 million hectares of oil palm are targeting to produce at least 25 million tons of CPO next year, up by 25 percent from this year’s production target of 20 million tons.
Members of GAPKI, which Steaven said represented about 30 percent of the national CPO industry, produced 19.2 million tons of CPO last year.
Steaven acknowledged that the bright hope of high CPO prices next year would be the chance for CPO business to gain more income to cover the losses caused by the drop in sales and in the rupiah rate to the dollar earlier this year.
During the first months of this year, the CPO price stood at only about $500 to $550 per ton.
The weakened rupiah earlier in the year also caused companies to receive less income during those hard days, Steaven said.
“In the middle of this year, the price started to recover to about $650 per ton,” he said.
The effects of the recovering global economy on the CPO price has significantly influenced CPO prices in quarter three 2009, he said.
“As of November, the CPO price stood at $770 per ton,” Steaven said.
According to data published by GAPKI, Indonesia exports CPO to over 100 countries, including 15 countries in western Europe including the Netherlands and Germany.
In 2008, a total of 7.3 hectares of oil palm plantations in Indonesia produced about 19.2 million tons of CPO, of which 14.3 million tons were exported. CPO producers are now exploring to improve sales penetration in eastern European countries like Slovakia.
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